By Aidan Joly
It’s only mid-December but it’s never too early to talk about bracketology and how the NCAA Tournament might shake out. Here, I have three teams that have helped their status as winners, and three that have been hurt by some recent losses.
Winner: Missouri
The Tigers came into this year with not much fanfare, but they have produced so far, going 5-0 with a pair of ranked wins, against then-No. 21 Oregon and then-No. 6 Illinois this past Saturday, the program’s first win against a top-ten opponent since 2013. They also have another pair of solid wins against Liberty and a true road win versus Wichita State. Dru Smith and Xavier Pinson have been the two key contributors for Cuonzo Martin’s group, as has Javon Pickett off the bench. They are now ranked No. 16 in the country with a pair of tune-up games before SEC play starts.
Winner: Clemson
Another team that came into this year cold, and Brad Brownell entered the season on a bit of a hot seat. All they have done is go 5-0 to start the year with four wins against Power 5 opponents and grabbing two wins over Mississippi State and Purdue on back-to-back days in Florida. They don’t have a true star player but they have about seven guys who can contribute in a big way. Saturday night’s win against Alabama (ha, not a football game) propelled them into the Top 25 for the first time this year on Monday. Now, a top-four ACC finish is not inconceivable.
Winner: Xavier
The Musketeers are winners in multiple ways. First, they have already played seven games, over halfway to the NCAA’s minimum of 13 to be tournament-eligible. Second, they’ve won all of them, too. The first five games were against inferior competition but they backed it up in their latest two games, a win against Cincinnati in the Crosstown Shootout and an impressive 22-point win against Oklahoma on Saturday. Behind a core of Zach Freemantle, Nate Johnson, Paul Scruggs and KyKy Tandy, this is a team that should be making noise in the Big East.
Loser: Kentucky
Wow. Things don’t look good in Lexington. The Wildcats are off to a 1-4 start, the worst for the program since 1984 after losses to Richmond, Kansas, Georgia Tech and Notre Dame. It’s still early, but this team has a real shot to be John Calipari’s worst Kentucky team. Brandon Boston and Devin Askew have not been as advertised and now they are forced to rely on Terrence Clark, which is not ideal. They play next on Saturday on a neutral floor against UCLA before a date with Louisville the day after Christmas. If they lose to UCLA and are 1-5, you have to go back to the 1920s to find a season where they started like that. Losing both is realistic and with that, tournament hopes slipping away. The Wildcats have not missed since 2013.
Loser: Wichita State
After the fall that the Shockers had that led to Gregg Marshall’s resignation, it shouldn’t be shocking (pun intended, maybe) that they are struggling. They are now 1-2 with the aforementioned loss to Missouri on top of a loss to Oklahoma State. Tyson Etienne and Alterique Gilbert is a halfway-decent one-two punch but they need more than that to compete in the American, where there will be a lot of bubble teams and nearly every game will be big. They kick off league play with a tilt against Tulsa on Tuesday.
Loser: Memphis
Memphis, like Xavier, has played seven games. But they are 4-3. Although down this year, the season-opening win against St. Mary’s is good, but not good enough to tilt the scales too much in their direction. The three losses are to Western Kentucky, VCU and a bad Auburn team. All three of those will be seen as “bad” losses. Only one of them, Western Kentucky, has a real shot to make the NCAA Tournament. Similar to Wichita State, in a league like the American where only Houston should feel good about its tournament chances, every game for the Tigers for the time being is big.